ABERNETHY, Gavin and GLASS, David (2022). Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 19 (188). [Article]
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Abstract
An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development
with minimal excess deaths.
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