An options-pricing approach to election prediction

FRY, John and BURKE, Matthew (2020). An options-pricing approach to election prediction. Quantitative Finance, 20 (10), 1583-1589.

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Official URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14697...
Link to published version:: https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2020.1757136
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    Abstract

    Election forecasting errors appear chiefly due to the mode of extracting outcomes from the polled share of the vote

    Item Type: Article
    Uncontrolled Keywords: 01 Mathematical Sciences; 14 Economics; 15 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services; Finance
    Identification Number: https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2020.1757136
    Page Range: 1583-1589
    SWORD Depositor: Symplectic Elements
    Depositing User: Symplectic Elements
    Date Deposited: 07 Dec 2021 17:18
    Last Modified: 12 Dec 2021 01:18
    URI: http://shura.shu.ac.uk/id/eprint/29213

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